Tesla’s First Quarter Delivery Data: Actually Not That Bad

While the numbers look underwhelming on a headline basis, they need to be put into context. First, here’s a look at the numbers. The 5.6% annual growth is underwhelming, not least as analysts had 365,646 penciled in for deliveries in the quarter. Yes, it represents growth and underscores that its best-selling vehicle, the Tesla Model Y, suffered in the first half of 2025 as the company transitioned to a new Model Y.

 

Tesla Deliveries Q1 2025 Q4 2025 Q1 2026 Year-over-Year Change   Quarter on Quarter Change
Model 3/Y 323,800 406,585  341,893  5.6%  -15.9%
Other Models 12,881 11,642 16,130 25.2% 38.6%
Total 336,681 418,227 358,023 6.3% -14.4%

Data source: Tesla presentations.

Comparing Tesla EV sales to its competition

Given this understanding, it’s probably better to compare Tesla’s first-quarter sales with those in the fourth quarter, and then compare those figures with those reported by other leading EV companies. As you can see above, there’s a mid-teens decline for both total sales and Model 3/Y sales. 

However, the 15.9% sequential decline is a whole lot better than BYD’s reported 52% decline, VW Group’s reported 38% to 50% decline, and BMW’s estimated 27% decline.

While some EV makers will report growth, it likely comes down to smaller automakers issuing new models. 

The leading players in the global EV market remain Tesla (which regained the top spot from BYD in the first quarter) with 358,023 deliveries, followed by BYD with 310,389 EV deliveries in the quarter.

All told, it’s just a tough quarter for EV sales, but the soaring gasoline prices might help that situation out pretty soon.

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